Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) — Airlines. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.13M · 3-mo avg 1.63M

Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY)

RYAAYRyanair Holdings plcloading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$59.00
near a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$73–74
near the 52-week high · midpoint $73.14 · Nov 6
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume47% below normal0.53× its 20-day average
Past year's range$51.02 – $74.24lowest to highest price
From its peak20.1% belowpeak $74.24, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.68 to 1$2.68 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$54.15the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)67.4fires under 35 · fires near $47.18
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit14.0× next year14.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 34%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 16.9×
Cash it generates5.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
67.4
fires under 35 · fires near $47.18
vs 50-day
●
$54.22
above the line · fires near $54.59
Bollinger
●
$49.57
no lower pierce · fires near $49.26
VWAP 20
●
$54.11
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $54.05
Entry level
✓
$59.00
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.76
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.53×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.90
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-25
in 52 sessions
Next dividend
1.52% yld
no ex-date on file