The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) — $107.99 +0.36%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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SCHW fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.79M · Avg 10.58M
SCHWThe Charles Schwab Corporation$107.99+0.36%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.6× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$107.45
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$109–110
center $109.37 · basis · bb upper + daily pivot + high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.22
3.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~46% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.36× · 3.79M vs 10.58M avg
52-week range$83.96 – $109.32
Below high since 2015-1.2% · $109.32 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.5
Plan stop$103.30
Max pain$101.00 options cluster
RSI 1470.1 overbought
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$107.99
$93.95 · -13.0%-13.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+3.9% · $112.21+3.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
70.1
overbought
vs 50-day
$97.41
above the line · fires near $98.16
Bollinger
$99.07
no lower pierce · fires near $98.25
VWAP 20
$103.82
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $103.78
Entry level
$107.45
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$105.00
OI strike below · fires near $105.45
MACD
+0.07
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.36×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.01
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
15 Oct 2026
· in 65 days
Next dividend
USD 0.32
ex-date 2026-08-14
prices 15-min delayed