Circle Internet Group (CRCL) — Capital Markets. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 12:45 PM ETVol 4.93M · 3-mo avg 12.87M

Circle Internet Group (CRCL)

CRCLCircle Internet Grouploading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 87/100 · was 73 on Nov 5 · Nov 100/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$67.22
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 5.4% below it
$84–87
near the 200-day average, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $85.66 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
87% of similar setups fell 20% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume8% below normal0.92× its 20-day average
Past year's range$49.90 – $140.00lowest to highest price
From its peaknot on file
Gain vs. risk1.38 to 1$1.38 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$53.87the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)34.5washed out
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit40.4× next year38.3× last 12 months

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 5.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
34.5
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$85.05
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$66.32
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$78.87
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$67.22
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-1.55
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.92×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
14.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.29
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-24
in 71 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file