Circle Internet Group (CRCL) — $67.05 +0.57%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

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CRCL fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.88M · Avg 13.85M
CRCLCircle Internet Group$67.05+0.57%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
2 of 5 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$66.71
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$71–74
center $72.63 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~82% odds of a ≥20% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.57× · 7.88M vs 13.85M avg
52-week range$49.90 – $189.92
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward1 : 0.5
Plan stop$55.28
Max pain
RSI 1450.6 fires under 35 · fires near $51.87
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$67.05
$51.58 · -23.1%-23.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+13.5% · $76.13+13.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
50.6
fires under 35 · fires near $51.87
vs 50-day
$72.20
below the line
Bollinger
$58.80
no lower pierce · fires near $57.86
VWAP 20
$63.75
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $63.67
Entry level
$66.71
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+1.17
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.57×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
12.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.54
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
11 Aug 2026
· in -1 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed