Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) — Capital Markets. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 13.83M · 3-mo avg 22.41M

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)

HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionPCE inflation days · ~11% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$118.80
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$152–155
center $153.86 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$10.64
8.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.05× the norm · 87% saw a ≥20% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.60×
52-week range$63.52 – $153.86
Below high since 2021-22.4% · $153.86 high
Risk / reward2.65 : 1
Plan stop$106.38
Max pain$105.00 options cluster
RSI 1457.3 fires under 35 · fires near $87.35
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple35.3× fwd · 52.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past45th pctile · 54.5× median
Price / book11.75×

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
57.3
fires under 35 · fires near $87.35
vs 50-day
●
$104.25
above the line · fires near $104.80
Bollinger
●
$100.41
no lower pierce · fires near $97.70
VWAP 20
●
$115.12
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $114.94
Entry level
✓
$118.80
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$115.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.30
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.60×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file