Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) — $94.52 +1.32%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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HOOD fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 11.95M · Avg 26.35M
HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.$94.52+1.32%Pre-market$95.04+0.55%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.1× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$94.05
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$97–100
center $98.27 · basis · daily pivot + sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$8.57
9.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~52% odds of a ≥20% dip · 63d · 0.6× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.45× · 11.95M vs 26.35M avg
52-week range$63.52 – $153.86
Below high since 2021-38.6% · $153.86 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.4
Plan stop$83.64
Max pain$89.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.3 fires under 35 · fires near $81.16
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$94.52
$76.10 · -19.5%-19.5%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+9.1% · $103.09+9.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
47.3
fires under 35 · fires near $81.16
vs 50-day
$98.53
below the line
Bollinger
$81.30
no lower pierce · fires near $78.51
VWAP 20
$97.56
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$94.05
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$85.00
OI strike below · fires near $85.42
MACD
-0.46
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.45×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
4.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.20
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 84 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed