Morgan Stanley (MS) — Capital Markets. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.18M · 3-mo avg 5.41M

Morgan Stanley (MS)

MSMorgan Stanleyloading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~22% smaller swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$186.62
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 10
$190–193
near the top of its usual range, a resistance level, a round-number price, the 200-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $191.19 · Nov 10
±$9.81
±5.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 3% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 3% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume38% below normal0.62× its 20-day average
Past year's range$152.80 – $232.25lowest to highest price
From its peak19.2% belowpeak $232.25, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.28 to 1$0.28 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$174.73the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$185.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)50.2fires under 35 · fires near $167.43
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit13.7× next year14.9× last 12 months

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
50.2
fires under 35 · fires near $167.43
vs 50-day
✓
$193.12
below the line
Bollinger
●
$175.76
no lower pierce · fires near $173.90
VWAP 20
●
$184.07
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $184.03
Entry level
✓
$186.62
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$170.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+1.03
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.62×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.95
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-14
in 44 sessions
Next dividend
2.45% yld
no ex-date on file