Morgan Stanley (MS) — Capital Markets. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 4.53M · 3-mo avg 5.18M

Morgan Stanley (MS)

MSMorgan Stanleyloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~21% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 68/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$195.33
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$210–213
center $211.38 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$10.29
5.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.92×
52-week range$151.84 – $232.25
Below high since 2015-15.5% · $232.25 high
Risk / reward1.02 : 1
Plan stop$181.51
Max pain$207.50 options cluster
RSI 1431.9 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple15.1× fwd · 16.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past55th pctile · 15.5× median
Price / book2.77×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 76% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
31.9
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$211.68
below the line
Bollinger
●
$194.19
no lower pierce · fires near $193.48
VWAP 20
✓
$207.14
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$195.33
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$197.50
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-1.13
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.92×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-14
in 14 sessions
Next dividend
2.34% yld
no ex-date on file