PTC Inc. (PTC) — $151.02 +2.24%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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PTC fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.26M · Avg 1.81M
PTCPTC Inc.$151.02+2.24%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$150.26
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$158–162
center $160.00 · basis · call wall + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.09
0.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs 20-day avg0.70× · 1.26M vs 1.81M avg
52-week range$108.50 – $217.64
Below high since 2015-31.3% · $219.69 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.6
Plan stop$134.33
Max pain$145.00 options cluster
RSI 1473.8 overbought
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$151.02
$106.59 · -29.4%-29.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+0.1% · $151.11+0.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
73.8
overbought
vs 50-day
$126.95
above the line · fires near $127.70
Bollinger
$108.53
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
$130.99
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $130.75
Entry level
$150.26
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$145.00
OI strike below · fires near $145.47
MACD
+2.69
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.70×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
8.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.57
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
11 Nov 2026
· in 91 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed