PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) — $130.05 +0.39%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

PHMpeers & supply-chain relationships

PHM fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.35M · Avg 1.82M
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.$130.05+0.39%Pre-market$130.80+0.58%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$129.40
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$143–145
center $143.89 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$10.43
8.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.74× · 1.35M vs 1.82M avg
52-week range$108.49 – $144.50
Below high since 2015-13.0% · $149.47 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.4
Plan stop$119.18
Max pain$119.00 options cluster
RSI 1451.9 fires under 35 · fires near $112.73
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$130.05
$112.17 · -13.7%-13.7%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.0% · $140.48+8.0%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
51.9
fires under 35 · fires near $112.73
vs 50-day
$126.76
above the line · fires near $127.93
Bollinger
$122.10
no lower pierce · fires near $120.78
VWAP 20
$128.19
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $128.15
Entry level
$129.40
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$120.00
OI strike below · fires near $120.55
MACD
+0.13
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.74×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
6.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.51
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
20 Oct 2026
· in 69 days
Next dividend
0.80% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed