PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) — Residential Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PHMpeers & supply-chain relationships

PHM fair-value estimate

PHM earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:45 PM ETVol 793.8K · 3-mo avg 1.78M

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM)

PHMPulteGroup, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$135.20
near a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 3.1% below it
$142–145
near the 52-week high · midpoint $143.57 · Nov 9
±$8.74
±6.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume46% below normal0.54× its 20-day average
Past year's range$107.16 – $144.50lowest to highest price
From its peak9.1% belowpeak $149.47, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.74 to 1$0.74 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$123.94the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$108.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)66.8fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit13.9× next year14.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 100%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 8.0×
Cash it generates6.7%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 3.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 37% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
66.8
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$119.68
above the line · fires near $120.66
Bollinger
●
$104.54
no lower pierce · fires near $101.38
VWAP 20
●
$121.53
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $121.41
Entry level
✓
$135.20
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.97
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.54×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.31
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-28
in 53 sessions
Next dividend
0.79% yld
no ex-date on file