Lennar Corporation (LEN) — Residential Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.89M · 3-mo avg 3.06M

Lennar Corporation (LEN)

LENLennar Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-3net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 7/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$81.74
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$83–85
center $83.81 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.42
6.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.84×
52-week range$75.70 – $133.76
Below high since 2015-56.2% · $187.61 high
Risk / reward0.27 : 1
Plan stop$75.98
Max pain$82.00 options cluster
RSI 1450.2 fires under 35 · fires near $73.05
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple15.2× fwd · 15.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past89th pctile · 8.7× median
Free cash flow yield0.1% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
50.2
fires under 35 · fires near $73.05
vs 50-day
✓
$83.81
below the line
Bollinger
●
$76.24
no lower pierce · fires near $75.30
VWAP 20
●
$80.40
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $80.38
Entry level
✓
$81.74
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$82.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context✓
+0.38
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.88
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-15
in 56 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
USD 0.50
ex-date 2026-10-07