D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) — Residential Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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DHI fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 948.2K · 3-mo avg 2.84M

D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)

DHID.R. Horton, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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$154.83
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9 · price is already 3.2% below it
$169–172
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $170.28 · Nov 9
±$12.50
±8.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume48% below normal0.52× its 20-day average
Past year's range$130.40 – $170.79lowest to highest price
From its peak22.1% belowpeak $199.85, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.24 to 1$1.24 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$142.40the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$150.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.5fires under 35 · fires near $106.89
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit13.9× next year14.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 100%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 9.4×
Cash it generates7.7%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 3.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.5
fires under 35 · fires near $106.89
vs 50-day
●
$141.42
above the line · fires near $142.52
Bollinger
●
$131.29
no lower pierce · fires near $128.65
VWAP 20
●
$146.05
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $145.79
Entry level
✓
$154.83
below the model level
Put wall
●
$145.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.75
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.52×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
5.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.19
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-19
in 46 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.45
ex-date 2026-11-12