Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA) — $33.01 +0.82%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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PEGA fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.07M · Avg 2.62M
PEGAPegasystems Inc.$33.01+0.82%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$32.84
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$67.95
center $67.95 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.41× · 1.07M vs 2.62M avg
52-week range$25.10 – $68.10
Below high since 2015-55.2% · $73.62 high
Risk / reward1 : 7.2
Plan stop$27.95
Max pain
RSI 1459.1 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$33.01
$25.52 · -22.7%-22.7%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+10.6% · $36.51+10.6%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
59.1
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$31.60
above the line · fires near $31.89
Bollinger
$26.36
no lower pierce · fires near $25.61
VWAP 20
$29.36
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $29.36
Entry level
$32.84
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.48
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.41×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
18.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.75
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
20 Oct 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 69 days
Next dividend
0.36% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed