Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.92M · 3-mo avg 2.40M

Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA)

PEGAPegasystems Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 6/100 · Nov 9
$30.97
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$35–36
near a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $35.19 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume16% below normal0.84× its 20-day average
Past year's range$25.10 – $63.26lowest to highest price
From its peak57.7% belowpeak $73.62, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.18 to 1$1.18 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$27.70the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)33.0washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit13.1× next year19.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 16%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 45.0×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 3.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
33.0
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$35.13
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$31.97
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$34.92
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$30.97
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.31
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
12.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.64
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2027-02-09
in 62 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
0.39% yld
no ex-date on file