PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) — Cloud & Infrastructure Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:32 PM ETVol 1.65M · 3-mo avg 3.92M

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS)

PAGSPagSeguro Digital Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 36/100 · Nov 9
$7.87
near the 52-week low, a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 2.3% below it
$9–10
near the 200-day average, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $9.49 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 19% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 19% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume22% above normal1.22× its 20-day average
Past year's range$7.48 – $12.32lowest to highest price
From its peak87.6% belowpeak $63.78, highest since 2018
Gain vs. risk1.36 to 1$1.36 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$6.68the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)35.5fires under 35 · fires near $7.65
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit4.0× next year5.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 0%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 10.2×
Cash it generates262.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 73% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
35.5
fires under 35 · fires near $7.65
vs 50-day
✓
$9.53
below the line
Bollinger
●
$6.16
no lower pierce · fires near $5.77
VWAP 20
✓
$9.16
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$7.87
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.28
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.22×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
13.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-10
reported today · reaction session open
Next dividend
14.56% yld
no ex-date on file