Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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OVV fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.53M · 3-mo avg 3.30M

Ovintiv Inc. (OVV)

OVVOvintiv Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-4net
0 bull / 4 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 36/100 · as of 2026-09-24
Smart entry
$60.21
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$62–63
center $62.41 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.32
5.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.84×
52-week range$35.47 – $67.51
Below high since 2015-20.3% · $75.92 high
Risk / reward0.53 : 1
Plan stop$56.03
Max pain$60.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.2 fires under 35 · fires near $57.47
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple8.2× fwd · 16.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past90th pctile · 6.6× median
Free cash flow yield9.0% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 54% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
41.2
fires under 35 · fires near $57.47
vs 50-day
✓
$62.39
below the line
Bollinger
●
$59.92
no lower pierce · fires near $59.89
VWAP 20
✓
$63.90
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$60.21
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$55.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.74
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.05
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
2.00% yld
no ex-date on file