Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ONTOpeers & supply-chain relationships

ONTO fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 135.0K · 3-mo avg 1.19M

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO)

ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 57/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$248.78
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$281–288
center $284.57 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$23.93
9.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.23× the norm · 82% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.74×
52-week range$118.97 – $386.46
Below high since 2015-35.3% · $386.46 high
Risk / reward0.69 : 1
Plan stop$218.56
Max pain$260.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.5 fires under 35 · fires near $239.55
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple94.1× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past96th pctile · 38.6× median
Free cash flow yield2.0% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
41.5
fires under 35 · fires near $239.55
vs 50-day
$284.16
below the line
Bollinger
$235.68
no lower pierce · fires near $230.29
VWAP 20
$270.63
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$248.78
level below · fires near $251.12
Put wall
$310.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-2.59
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.74×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$15.11
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 35 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file