Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ONTOpeers & supply-chain relationships

ONTO fair-value estimate

ONTO earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.27M · 3-mo avg 989.8K

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO)

ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-4net
1 bull / 5 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 89/100 · was 40 on Nov 2 · Nov 61/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$172.41
near a support level · Nov 6
$253–260
near the 200-day average and the 50-day average · midpoint $256.92 · Nov 6
±$25.84
±14.9% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume6% above normal1.06× its 20-day average
Past year's range$121.58 – $386.46lowest to highest price
From its peak55.2% belowpeak $386.46, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.93 to 1$2.93 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$144.69the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$220.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)33.8washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit65.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 75%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 38.9×
Cash it generates3.5%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 11.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
33.8
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$253.68
below the line
Bollinger
●
$159.08
no lower pierce · fires near $154.78
VWAP 20
✓
$212.87
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$172.41
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-3.56
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.06×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$16.63
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
reported last session · reaction session open
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file