ASML Holding N.V. (ASMLF) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ASMLFpeers & supply-chain relationships

ASMLF fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 2 · 3-mo avg 6.6K

ASML Holding N.V. (ASMLF)

ASMLFASML Holding N.V.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~13% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 3/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$1,730.54
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$1,979–2,004
center $1,991.64 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.00×
52-week range$930.56 – $1,991.64
Below high since 2023-12.7% · $1,991.64 high
Risk / reward2.33 : 1
Plan stop$1,630.82
Max pain—
RSI 1454.5 fires under 35 · fires near $1,523.35
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple59.6× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield1.7% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
54.5
fires under 35 · fires near $1,523.35
vs 50-day
●
$1,716.91
above the line · fires near $1,733.67
Bollinger
●
$1,580.25
no lower pierce · fires near $1,559.57
VWAP 20
●
$1,645.84
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $1,644.53
Entry level
✓
$1,730.54
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+5.81
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.00×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$49.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-14
in 14 sessions
Next dividend
0.52% yld
no ex-date on file
ASML Holding N.V. (ASMLF) Stock Price & Signals · QTick