ASML Holding N.V. (ASMLF) — $1,741.00 +0.06%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ASMLFpeers & supply-chain relationships

ASMLF fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 3:55 PM ETVol 18 · Avg 8.9K
ASMLFASML Holding N.V.$1,741.00+0.06%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
2 of 5 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.9× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$1,732.30
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$1,744–1,779
center $1,761.64 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.00× · 18 vs 8.9K avg
52-week range$715.99 – $1,991.64
Below high since 2023-12.6% · $1,991.64 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.2
Plan stop$1,593.87
Max pain
RSI 1451.9 fires under 35 · fires near $1,460.16
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$1,741.00
$1,452.96 · -16.5%-16.5%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.0% · $1,879.42+8.0%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
51.9
fires under 35 · fires near $1,460.16
vs 50-day
$1,761.64
below the line
Bollinger
$1,564.28
no lower pierce · fires near $1,535.77
VWAP 20
$1,655.56
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $1,654.59
Entry level
$1,732.30
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+6.21
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.00×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$69.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
14 Oct 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 64 days
Next dividend
0.52% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed