Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) — $11.58 −0.60%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

NOMDpeers & supply-chain relationships

NOMD fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 315.6K · Avg 1.49M
NOMDNomad Foods Limited$11.58-0.60%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$11.59
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$12–13
center $12.49 · basis · bb upper + call wall + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.80
6.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~85% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.21× · 315.6K vs 1.49M avg
52-week range$8.99 – $16.29
Below high since 2016-64.1% · $32.47 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.0
Plan stop$10.71
Max pain$10.00 options cluster
RSI 1449.9 fires under 35 · fires near $10.34
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$11.58
$9.63 · -16.8%-16.8%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.9% · $12.38+6.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
49.9
fires under 35 · fires near $10.34
vs 50-day
$11.10
above the line · fires near $11.20
Bollinger
$11.30
no lower pierce · fires near $11.23
VWAP 20
$11.93
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$11.59
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$10.00
OI strike below · fires near $10.05
MACD
-0.07
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.21×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.37
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
13 Aug 2026
· in 1 days
Next dividend
USD 0.17
ex-date 2026-08-11
prices 15-min delayed