Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) — $24.70 −1.28%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

HRLpeers & supply-chain relationships

HRL fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:04 PM ETVol 2.64M · Avg 4.91M
HRLHormel Foods Corporation$24.70-1.28%Pre-market$24.75+0.19%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$24.58
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$27.89
center $27.89 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.94
3.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~46% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.54× · 2.64M vs 4.91M avg
52-week range$19.70 – $29.35
Below high since 2015-57.4% · $57.92 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.4
Plan stop$23.22
Max pain
RSI 1446.4 fires under 35 · fires near $23.36
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$24.70
$22.43 · -9.2%-9.2%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+3.8% · $25.64+3.8%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
46.4
fires under 35 · fires near $23.36
vs 50-day
$24.61
at the line
Bollinger
$24.64
no lower pierce · fires near $24.61
VWAP 20
$25.29
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$24.58
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$23.00
OI strike below · fires near $23.11
MACD
-0.13
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.54×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
7.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.57
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
27 Aug 2026
· in 15 days
Next dividend
4.74% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed