The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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KHC fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 10.45M · 3-mo avg 17.03M

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC)

KHCThe Kraft Heinz Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
—
model abstained · delisted
Target exit
—
model abstained · delisted
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.00
4.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.45×
52-week range$21.04 – $28.09
Below high since 2015-75.8% · $97.69 high
Risk / reward—
Plan stop—
Max pain$24.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.7 fires under 35 · fires near $23.43
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple11.3× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield13.1% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
36.7
fires under 35 · fires near $23.43
vs 50-day
✓
$25.00
below the line
Bollinger
●
$23.52
no lower pierce · fires near $23.48
VWAP 20
✓
$24.66
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
—
not on file
Put wall
✓
$24.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.11
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.45×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
11.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.61
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
6.77% yld
no ex-date on file