The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) — $24.93 −1.54%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

KHCpeers & supply-chain relationships

KHC fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 16.95M · Avg 14.32M
KHCThe Kraft Heinz Company$24.93-1.54%Pre-market$25.03+0.40%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$24.81
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$28.09
center $28.09 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.18
4.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.18× · 16.95M vs 14.32M avg
52-week range$21.04 – $28.10
Below high since 2015-74.5% · $97.69 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.6
Plan stop$22.75
Max pain$15.00 options cluster
RSI 1445.8 fires under 35 · fires near $22.73
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$24.93
$22.62 · -9.3%-9.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.7% · $26.11+4.7%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
45.8
fires under 35 · fires near $22.73
vs 50-day
$24.62
above the line · fires near $24.86
Bollinger
$24.55
no lower pierce · fires near $24.42
VWAP 20
$26.01
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$24.81
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$25.00
within 0.5% of max put OI
MACD
-0.25
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.18×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
10.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.89
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026
· in 77 days
Next dividend
USD 0.40
ex-date 2026-09-04
prices 15-min delayed