Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) — Specialty Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MUSApeers & supply-chain relationships

MUSA fair-value estimate

MUSA earnings history

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 11:07 AM ETVol 49.9K · 3-mo avg 288.5K

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA)

MUSAMurphy USA Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 37/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$520.22
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$560–568
center $564.26 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.83×
52-week range$349.83 – $636.05
Below high since 2015-17.8% · $636.05 high
Risk / reward1.10 : 1
Plan stop$487.20
Max pain
RSI 1444.3 fires under 35 · fires near $498.95
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple17.1× fwd · 16.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past81st pctile · 14.8× median
Price / booknot on file

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
44.3
fires under 35 · fires near $498.95
vs 50-day
$564.55
below the line
Bollinger
$490.45
no lower pierce · fires near $483.64
VWAP 20
$527.53
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$520.22
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
+1.92
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.83×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$16.51
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
0.50% yld
no ex-date on file