Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) — Specialty Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CASYpeers & supply-chain relationships

CASY fair-value estimate

CASY earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 294.2K · 3-mo avg 489.9K

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY)

CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+8net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 10 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 55/100 · as of 2026-09-24
Smart entry
$595.86
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$652–668
center $660.00 · basis · call wall + round · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$31.69
5.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 23% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 23% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.84×
52-week range$497.38 – $927.85
Below high since 2015-35.5% · $927.85 high
Risk / reward0.97 : 1
Plan stop$534.04
Max pain$620.00 options cluster
RSI 1427.1 oversold
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple24.8× fwd · 28.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past64th pctile · 24.8× median
Free cash flow yield3.3% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 70% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
27.1
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$779.65
below the line
Bollinger
●
$516.66
no lower pierce · fires near $495.57
VWAP 20
✓
$651.11
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$595.86
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$630.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-7.84
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$30.91
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-08
in 52 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
USD 0.65
ex-date 2026-10-30