Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) — Specialty Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TSCOpeers & supply-chain relationships

TSCO fair-value estimate

TSCO earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM ETVol 3.32M · 3-mo avg 11.84M

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)

TSCOTractor Supply Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$37.21
near a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$55–56
near the 52-week high · midpoint $55.60 · Nov 9
±$2.54
±6.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume42% below normal0.58× its 20-day average
Past year's range$28.36 – $56.94lowest to highest price
From its peak41.6% belowpeak $63.99, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk3.75 to 1$3.75 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$32.53the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$37.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)68.0fires under 35 · fires near $29.15
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.1× next year20.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 14%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 24.0×
Cash it generates4.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
68.0
fires under 35 · fires near $29.15
vs 50-day
●
$33.42
above the line · fires near $33.63
Bollinger
●
$30.80
no lower pierce · fires near $30.45
VWAP 20
●
$33.66
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $33.63
Entry level
✓
$37.21
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.23
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.58×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
8.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-28
in 53 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.24
ex-date 2026-11-23