Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) — $34.62 +0.17%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

TSCOpeers & supply-chain relationships

TSCO fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 20.04M · Avg 12.22M
TSCOTractor Supply Company$34.62+0.17%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -4 — more evidence points down than up — and the 50-day average sits below the 200-day, 1 accounting red flag is raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-4net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$34.45
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$61.84
center $61.84 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.51
10.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.64× · 20.04M vs 12.22M avg
52-week range$28.36 – $62.89
Below high since 2015-45.9% · $63.99 high
Risk / reward1 : 9.1
Plan stop$31.43
Max pain$20.00 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1469.0 fires under 35 · fires near $26.91
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$34.62
$26.76 · -22.7%-22.7%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+10.1% · $38.13+10.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
69.0
fires under 35 · fires near $26.91
vs 50-day
$30.91
above the line · fires near $31.13
Bollinger
$28.34
no lower pierce · fires near $27.99
VWAP 20
$31.54
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $31.53
Entry level
$34.45
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$30.00
OI strike below · fires near $30.10
MACD
+0.46
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.64×
elevated versus recent average
Short int.Static
6.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
22 Oct 2026
· in 72 days
Next dividend
USD 0.24
ex-date 2026-08-24
prices 15-min delayed