Strategy Inc (MSTR) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 13.82M · 3-mo avg 22.56M

Strategy Inc (MSTR)

MSTRStrategy Incloading…
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QTick signal
0net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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$128.29
near a recent low, a support level and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$132–137
near a heavy call-option level, a resistance level and the 200-day average · midpoint $134.32 · Nov 6
±$16.28
±12.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 11% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
91% of similar setups fell 20% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 11% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume24% below normal0.76× its 20-day average
Past year's range$81.81 – $249.96lowest to highest price
From its peak76.3% belowpeak $543.00, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.27 to 1$0.27 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$108.79the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$142.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)41.4fires under 35 · fires near $115.29
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit7.5× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 23.4×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates-41.4%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Drawdown risk — high
RSI 14
●
41.4
fires under 35 · fires near $115.29
vs 50-day
✓
$144.43
below the line
Bollinger
●
$126.02
no lower pierce · fires near $125.06
VWAP 20
✓
$140.81
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$128.29
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$130.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-1.71
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.76×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$9.75
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 60 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file