MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) — Industrial Distribution. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

MSMpeers & supply-chain relationships

MSM fair-value estimate

MSM earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:41 PM ETVol 299.6K · 3-mo avg 707.4K

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM)

MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$121.15
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$130–131
center $130.46 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$11.99
9.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.94×
52-week range$78.80 – $130.46
Below high since 2015-6.7% · $130.46 high
Risk / reward1.66 : 1
Plan stop$115.54
Max pain$120.00 options cluster
RSI 1454.0 fires under 35 · fires near $110.95
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple22.1× fwd · 28.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past98th pctile · 17.0× median
Free cash flow yield3.6% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
54.0
fires under 35 · fires near $110.95
vs 50-day
$122.08
below the line
Bollinger
$116.57
no lower pierce · fires near $115.97
VWAP 20
$119.61
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $119.57
Entry level
$121.15
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$120.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.24
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.94×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.81
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
2.88% yld
no ex-date on file