Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) — Industrial Distribution. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

FERGpeers & supply-chain relationships

FERG fair-value estimate

FERG earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 630.5K · 3-mo avg 1.47M

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG)

FERGFerguson Enterprises Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~10% smaller swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$253.40
near a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$266–271
near a resistance level and the 52-week high · midpoint $268.59 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
High
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume21% below normal0.79× its 20-day average
Past year's range$212.13 – $271.64lowest to highest price
From its peak4.3% belowpeak $271.64, highest since 2021
Gain vs. risk0.33 to 1$0.33 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$229.74the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)70.4overbought
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.4× next year24.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 86%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 21.4×

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 37% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
70.4
overbought
vs 50-day
●
$226.02
above the line · fires near $227.61
Bollinger
●
$215.49
no lower pierce · fires near $215.63
VWAP 20
●
$235.05
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $234.74
Entry level
●
$253.40
level below · fires near $255.78
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+2.40
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.79×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.55
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
—
not on file
Next dividend
1.37% yld
no ex-date on file