Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) — Industrial Distribution. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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FERGpeers & supply-chain relationships

FERG fair-value estimate

FERG earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.23M · 3-mo avg 2.31M

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG)

FERGFerguson Enterprises Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~19% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 31/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$221.63
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$240–243
center $241.37 · basis · round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.89×
52-week range$212.13 – $271.64
Below high since 2021-18.0% · $271.64 high
Risk / reward1.68 : 1
Plan stop$211.65
Max pain—
RSI 1447.2 fires under 35 · fires near $212.23
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple17.8× fwd · 21.9× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 58% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
47.2
fires under 35 · fires near $212.23
vs 50-day
✓
$232.07
below the line
Bollinger
●
$212.44
no lower pierce · fires near $210.80
VWAP 20
●
$220.67
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $220.64
Entry level
✓
$221.63
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.83
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.89×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.99
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
in 31 sessions
Next dividend
1.60% yld
no ex-date on file