W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) — Industrial Distribution. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GWW fair-value estimate

GWW earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 606.2K · 3-mo avg 252.3K

W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW)

GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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$1,440.43
near a support level · Nov 9
$1,509–1,528
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $1,518.78 · Nov 9
±$59.35
±4.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume107% above normal2.07× its 20-day average
Past year's range$906.52 – $1,521.41lowest to highest price
From its peak4.8% belowpeak $1,521.41, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.84 to 1$0.84 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$1,362.85the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$1,120.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)67.6fires under 35 · fires near $1,208.88
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit27.8× next year31.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 85%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 25.5×
Cash it generates2.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 34% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
67.6
fires under 35 · fires near $1,208.88
vs 50-day
●
$1,312.74
above the line · fires near $1,322.15
Bollinger
●
$1,272.19
no lower pierce · fires near $1,256.33
VWAP 20
●
$1,383.62
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $1,383.38
Entry level
✓
$1,440.43
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$1,350.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context✓
+9.68
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
2.07×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$38.79
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 57 sessions
Next dividend
0.69% yld
no ex-date on file