W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) — Industrial Distribution. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GWWpeers & supply-chain relationships

GWW fair-value estimate

GWW earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 388.0K · 3-mo avg 270.5K

W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW)

GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 40/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$1,236.85
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$1,306–1,319
center $1,312.16 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$96.21
7.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.46×
52-week range$906.52 – $1,419.91
Below high since 2015-12.5% · $1,419.91 high
Risk / reward1.19 : 1
Plan stop$1,184.81
Max pain$1,230.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.6 fires under 35 · fires near $1,234.19
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple24.4× fwd · 31.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past87th pctile · 25.4× median
Free cash flow yield2.3% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
36.6
fires under 35 · fires near $1,234.19
vs 50-day
✓
$1,312.43
below the line
Bollinger
●
$1,241.48
no lower pierce · fires near $1,240.65
VWAP 20
✓
$1,280.74
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$1,236.85
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$1,140.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.75
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.46×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$26.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
0.80% yld
no ex-date on file