Fastenal Company (FAST) — $52.15 +0.60%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

FASTpeers & supply-chain relationships

FAST fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.97M · Avg 7.86M
FASTFastenal Company$52.15+0.60%Pre-market$52.11-0.08%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.8× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$51.89
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit
at new highs
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.53
8.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.89× · 6.97M vs 7.86M avg
52-week range$38.97 – $52.23
Below high since 2015-0.1% · $52.22 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop$48.50
Max pain$18.75 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1473.4 overbought
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$52.15
$41.48 · -20.5%-20.5%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.7% · $56.68+8.7%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
73.4
overbought
vs 50-day
$46.71
above the line · fires near $47.01
Bollinger
$42.89
no lower pierce · fires near $42.35
VWAP 20
$47.33
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $47.28
Entry level
$51.89
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$42.50
OI strike below · fires near $42.68
MACD
+0.57
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.89×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
3.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.24
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
14 Oct 2026
· in 64 days
Next dividend
1.84% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed