Watsco, Inc. (WSO) — Industrial Distribution. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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WSOpeers & supply-chain relationships

WSO fair-value estimate

WSO earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 823.8K · 3-mo avg 559.4K

Watsco, Inc. (WSO)

WSOWatsco, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-5net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 1 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKTrying to find a bottom · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$314.84
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$353–362
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $357.51 · Nov 9
±$0.35
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
80% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume12% above normal1.12× its 20-day average
Past year's range$277.34 – $459.00lowest to highest price
From its peak41.1% belowpeak $537.27, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.21 to 1$1.21 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$282.48the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$440.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)55.7fires under 35 · fires near $265.95
Price vs. profit24.6× next year27.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 48%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 27.9×
Cash it generates4.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 4.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
55.7
fires under 35 · fires near $265.95
vs 50-day
●
$303.83
above the line · fires near $306.39
Bollinger
●
$283.73
no lower pierce · fires near $279.22
VWAP 20
●
$304.90
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $304.77
Entry level
✓
$314.84
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$390.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context✓
+1.21
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.12×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$16.06
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-16
in 66 sessions
Next dividend
4.17% yld
no ex-date on file