The Mosaic Company (MOS) — Agricultural Inputs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

MOSpeers & supply-chain relationships

MOS fair-value estimate

MOS earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 9:37 AM ETVol 2.38M · 3-mo avg 8.10M

The Mosaic Company (MOS)

MOSThe Mosaic Companyloading…
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QTick signal
-4net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$25.26
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 1.7% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$35–36
center $35.68 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.85
7.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.57×
52-week range$19.80 – $36.99
Below high since 2015-67.7% · $78.66 high
Risk / reward4.81 : 1
Plan stop$23.10
Max pain$25.00 options cluster
RSI 1458.6 fires under 35 · fires near $19.92
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple168.5× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past99th pctile · 9.1× median
Free cash flow yield-6.8% · burning cash

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 49% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
58.6
fires under 35 · fires near $19.92
vs 50-day
$23.21
above the line · fires near $23.41
Bollinger
$22.94
no lower pierce · fires near $22.53
VWAP 20
$24.70
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $24.70
Entry level
$25.26
below the model level
Put wall
$25.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.09
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.57×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
9.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.08
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 32 sessions
Next dividend
3.54% yld
no ex-date on file