CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) — Agricultural Inputs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 2.25M · 3-mo avg 2.54M

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 35/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$114.10
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$124–127
center $125.30 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.82×
52-week range$75.42 – $141.96
Below high since 2015-19.2% · $141.96 high
Risk / reward0.99 : 1
Plan stop$103.96
Max pain—
RSI 1434.1 washed out
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple11.3× fwd · 9.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past39th pctile · 10.7× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 3.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 54% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
34.1
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$125.09
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$116.07
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$130.58
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$114.10
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-2.07
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.82×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.07
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
2.09% yld
no ex-date on file