CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) — Agricultural Inputs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.28M · 3-mo avg 2.52M

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$118.68
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$122–124
near the top of its usual range, a resistance level, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $122.81 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume2% above normal1.02× its 20-day average
Past year's range$75.42 – $141.96lowest to highest price
From its peak16.0% belowpeak $141.96, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.37 to 1$0.37 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$109.71the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)50.5fires under 35 · fires near $105.21
Accounting warning signs3worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.6× next year8.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 33%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 10.6×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
50.5
fires under 35 · fires near $105.21
vs 50-day
✓
$122.30
below the line
Bollinger
●
$114.31
no lower pierce · fires near $113.43
VWAP 20
●
$118.45
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $118.37
Entry level
✓
$118.68
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.14
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.02×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.49
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-17
in 67 sessions
Next dividend
2.01% yld
no ex-date on file