Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) — Agricultural Inputs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NTR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 3.05M · 3-mo avg 2.71M

Nutrien Ltd. (NTR)

NTRNutrien Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 32/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$71.87
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$83–85
center $83.98 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.11×
52-week range$53.03 – $85.36
Below high since 2018-39.2% · $118.87 high
Risk / reward2.35 : 1
Plan stop$67.23
Max pain—
RSI 1441.1 fires under 35 · fires near $69.12
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple15.2× fwd · 15.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past39th pctile · 16.8× median
Free cash flow yield4.9% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
41.1
fires under 35 · fires near $69.12
vs 50-day
✓
$72.35
at the line
Bollinger
✓
$72.28
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$77.29
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$71.87
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.75
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.11×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.32
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
3.05% yld
no ex-date on file