ICL Group Ltd (ICL) — Agricultural Inputs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ICL fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.74M · 3-mo avg 1.42M

ICL Group Ltd (ICL)

ICLICL Group Ltdloading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 9/100 · Nov 9
$4.66
near a support level · Nov 9
$5.03
near a round-number price and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $5.03 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume29% above normal1.29× its 20-day average
Past year's range$4.35 – $6.97lowest to highest price
From its peak64.0% belowpeak $12.98, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.08 to 1$1.08 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$4.36the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)43.1fires under 35 · fires near $4.43
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.8× next year19.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 70%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 12.6×
Cash it generates4.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
43.1
fires under 35 · fires near $4.43
vs 50-day
✓
$5.12
below the line
Bollinger
●
$4.41
no lower pierce · fires near $4.35
VWAP 20
✓
$4.75
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$4.66
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.02
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.29×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.15
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-11
in 2 sessions
Next dividend
4.49% yld
no ex-date on file