ICL Group Ltd (ICL) — Agricultural Inputs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ICL fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.07M · 3-mo avg 1.19M

ICL Group Ltd (ICL)

ICLICL Group Ltdloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 42/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$5.11
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$5.38
center $5.38 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 5% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 5% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.85×
52-week range$4.76 – $6.97
Below high since 2015-60.4% · $12.98 high
Risk / reward0.92 : 1
Plan stop$4.88
Max pain—
RSI 1434.2 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple11.7× fwd · 21.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past91st pctile · 12.8× median
Free cash flow yield3.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
34.2
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$5.41
below the line
Bollinger
●
$5.12
no lower pierce · fires near $5.11
VWAP 20
✓
$5.59
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$5.11
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.07
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.85×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.12
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-11
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
4.09% yld
no ex-date on file