MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) — Specialty Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

MNSOpeers & supply-chain relationships

MNSO fair-value estimate

MNSO earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 613.6K · 3-mo avg 807.2K

MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO)

MNSOMINISO Group Holding Limitedloading…
loading…
QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 24/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$8.74
basis · low 52w + pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$10.00
center $10.00 · basis · bb upper + call wall · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.66
7.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.58×
52-week range$8.55 – $23.55
Below high since 2020-76.2% · $36.92 high
Risk / reward2.50 : 1
Plan stop$8.29
Max pain$10.00 options cluster
RSI 1430.9 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple5.9× fwd · 14.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past1st pctile · 21.3× median
Free cash flow yield-53.3% · burning cash

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 1.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
30.9
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$10.89
below the line
Bollinger
●
$8.37
no lower pierce · fires near $8.27
VWAP 20
✓
$9.31
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$8.74
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$10.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.08
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.58×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-19
in 39 sessions
Next dividend
7.63% yld
no ex-date on file