M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO) — Residential Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MHO fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 11:58 AM ETVol 156.0K · 3-mo avg 224.2K

M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO)

MHOM/I Homes, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-3net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 1 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 10/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$138.06
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$144–146
center $145.00 · basis · call wall · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.84
4.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.74×
52-week range$116.78 – $163.66
Below high since 2015-21.2% · $176.18 high
Risk / reward0.74 : 1
Plan stop$130.28
Max pain$130.00 options cluster
RSI 1440.5 fires under 35 · fires near $135.32
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple9.9× fwd · 11.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past92nd pctile · 5.8× median
Free cash flow yield3.6% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
40.5
fires under 35 · fires near $135.32
vs 50-day
✓
$147.35
below the line
Bollinger
●
$134.79
no lower pierce · fires near $133.69
VWAP 20
✓
$142.62
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$138.06
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$110.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.25
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.74×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.89
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-21
in 18 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file