MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE) — Regulated Electric Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 244.9K · 3-mo avg 203.4K

MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE)

MGEEMGE Energy, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 100/100 · was 63 on Sep 20 · as of 2026-09-240/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$68.15
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$78–79
center $78.50 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.26
8.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
0.98× the norm · 77% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.67×
52-week range$70.06 – $87.94
Below high since 2015-37.3% · $109.22 high
Risk / reward1.71 : 1
Plan stop$65.13
Max pain$70.00 options cluster
RSI 1413.4 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple17.5× fwd · 18.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past0th pctile · 24.7× median
Free cash flow yield-3.1% · burning cash

Last session traded heavier than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 79% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
13.4
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$78.52
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$70.82
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$75.42
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$68.15
level below · fires near $68.81
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.24
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.67×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.51
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
2.90% yld
no ex-date on file