The Southern Company (SO) — Regulated Electric Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SO fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:51 PM ETVol 4.90M · 3-mo avg 5.54M

The Southern Company (SO)

SOThe Southern Companyloading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 64/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$82.47
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$90–91
center $90.23 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.80
4.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.81×
52-week range$82.09 – $100.84
Below high since 2015-17.8% · $100.84 high
Risk / reward2.57 : 1
Plan stop$80.03
Max pain$84.00 options cluster
RSI 1421.9 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple16.8× fwd · 20.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past13th pctile · 22.7× median
Free cash flow yield-3.1% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 72% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
21.9
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$90.21
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$82.92
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$86.76
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$82.47
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$82.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.32
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.81×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
3.67% yld
no ex-date on file