National Grid plc (NGG) — Regulated Electric Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NGG fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:30 PM ETVol 558.1K · 3-mo avg 924.1K

National Grid plc (NGG)

NGGNational Grid plcloading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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$83.84
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9 · price is already 0.5% below it
$92–93
near the 52-week high · midpoint $92.22 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume13% below normal0.87× its 20-day average
Past year's range$73.37 – $94.64lowest to highest price
From its peak11.0% belowpeak $94.64, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.85 to 1$1.85 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$79.32the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)59.8fires under 35 · fires near $72.85
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit12.6× next year15.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 47%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 16.0×
Cash it generates-3.3%it used more cash than it made

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
59.8
fires under 35 · fires near $72.85
vs 50-day
●
$78.81
above the line · fires near $79.45
Bollinger
●
$77.76
no lower pierce · fires near $76.90
VWAP 20
●
$82.31
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $82.27
Entry level
✓
$83.84
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.01
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.87×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.51
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-05-13
in 126 sessions
Next dividend
3.88% yld
no ex-date on file