National Grid plc (NGG) — Regulated Electric Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NGG fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 2:07 PM ETVol 604.2K · 3-mo avg 847.7K

National Grid plc (NGG)

NGGNational Grid plcloading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressOKPCE inflation days · ~9% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 31/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$74.85
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$79–80
center $79.55 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.19×
52-week range$71.05 – $94.64
Below high since 2015-20.5% · $94.64 high
Risk / reward1.49 : 1
Plan stop$72.44
Max pain—
RSI 1435.5 fires under 35 · fires near $75.19
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple11.3× fwd · 17.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past83rd pctile · 16.2× median
Free cash flow yield-3.6% · burning cash

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 74% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
35.5
fires under 35 · fires near $75.19
vs 50-day
✓
$79.65
below the line
Bollinger
●
$74.20
no lower pierce · fires near $73.89
VWAP 20
✓
$77.16
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$74.85
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.05
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.19×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
4.30% yld
no ex-date on file