National Grid plc (NGGTF) — Regulated Electric Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NGGTF fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.6K · 3-mo avg 6.1K

National Grid plc (NGGTF)

NGGTFNational Grid plcloading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~20% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 2/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$15.02
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$15.76
center $15.76 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.19×
52-week range$13.96 – $19.33
Below high since 2023-21.9% · $19.33 high
Risk / reward0.74 : 1
Plan stop$14.21
Max pain—
RSI 1442.6 fires under 35 · fires near $14.46
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple17.4× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-3.5% · burning cash

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 42% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
42.6
fires under 35 · fires near $14.46
vs 50-day
✓
$15.84
below the line
Bollinger
●
$14.83
no lower pierce · fires near $14.75
VWAP 20
✓
$15.51
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$15.02
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.01
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.19×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.41
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
4.30% yld
no ex-date on file