National Grid plc (NGGTF) — $16.10 −2.31%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

NGGTFpeers & supply-chain relationships

NGGTF fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 2.2K · Avg 5.3K
NGGTFNational Grid plc$16.10-2.31%

WAIT.

The triggers line up — but the move is nearly spent.

3 of 5 entry triggers are firing, but the shown price sits within $0.22 of the $16.27 target reference — the reward left no longer covers the $15.15 stop's risk. Chasing the last stretch buys the worst of the trade.

QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
3 of 5 aligned — not yet
Triggers aligned, but the target is one swing away — the move is nearly spent.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.2× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$16.02
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$16.27
center $16.27 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~65% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.41× · 2.2K vs 5.3K avg
52-week range$13.45 – $19.33
Below high since 2023-16.7% · $19.33 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$15.15
Max pain
RSI 1446.9 fires under 35 · fires near $15.05
Forensic flags0 clean
What-if price
$16.10
$14.97 · -7.0%-7.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.4% · $16.97+5.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
46.9
fires under 35 · fires near $15.05
vs 50-day
$16.27
below the line
Bollinger
$15.74
no lower pierce · fires near $15.65
VWAP 20
$16.14
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$16.02
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.08
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.41×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.44
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 85 days
Next dividend
4.04% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed