Mercury General Corporation (MCY) — Property & Casualty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 89.6K · 3-mo avg 297.4K

Mercury General Corporation (MCY)

MCYMercury General Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 5/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$97.80
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$104–105
center $104.43 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.05
4.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.00×
52-week range$74.29 – $113.06
Below high since 2015-13.1% · $113.06 high
Risk / reward0.71 : 1
Plan stop$92.83
Max pain$100.00 options cluster
RSI 1437.0 fires under 35 · fires near $99.02
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple8.0× fwd · 5.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past10th pctile · 10.2× median
Price / book2.24×

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
37.0
fires under 35 · fires near $99.02
vs 50-day
✓
$104.43
below the line
Bollinger
●
$98.18
no lower pierce · fires near $97.74
VWAP 20
✓
$101.98
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$97.80
level below · fires near $98.72
Put wall
●
$90.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.33
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.00×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.39
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
1.27% yld
no ex-date on file
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