The Progressive Corporation (PGR) — Property & Casualty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PGRpeers & supply-chain relationships

PGR earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:15 PM ETVol 900.4K · 3-mo avg 2.62M

The Progressive Corporation (PGR)

PGRThe Progressive Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileFlatInflation-report days · swings like the S&P 500OKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$226.38
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$229–231
near a heavy call-option level, a resistance level and a round-number price · midpoint $229.96 · Nov 9
±$10.56
±4.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume39% below normal0.61× its 20-day average
Past year's range$189.20 – $241.02lowest to highest price
From its peak22.3% belowpeak $292.99, highest since 2015
Plan fails below$212.00the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$220.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)54.0fires under 35 · fires near $210.86
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit14.2× next year11.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 18%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 19.9×

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 49% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

At target — take profit
RSI 14
●
54.0
fires under 35 · fires near $210.86
vs 50-day
●
$218.89
above the line · fires near $220.82
Bollinger
●
$213.69
no lower pierce · fires near $211.28
VWAP 20
●
$224.21
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $224.14
Entry level
●
$226.38
level below · fires near $228.56
Put wall
●
$220.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-0.26
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.61×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
1.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.17
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 52 sessions
Next dividend
0.17% yld
no ex-date on file