The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) — $376.65 +0.27%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

TRVpeers & supply-chain relationships

TRV fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 227.6K · Avg 1.86M
TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.$376.65+0.27%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.0× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$373.74
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$396–401
center $398.70 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$12.47
3.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.12× · 227.6K vs 1.86M avg
52-week range$252.26 – $398.70
Below high since 2015-5.8% · $398.70 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.4
Plan stop$356.00
Max pain$350.00 options cluster
RSI 1458.1 fires under 35 · fires near $330.12
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$376.65
$328.31 · -12.8%-12.8%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+3.3% · $389.12+3.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
58.1
fires under 35 · fires near $330.12
vs 50-day
$338.21
above the line · fires near $340.69
Bollinger
$337.17
no lower pierce · fires near $330.42
VWAP 20
$371.46
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $371.21
Entry level
$373.74
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$350.00
OI strike below · fires near $351.57
MACD
+0.68
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.12×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
3.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.87
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
15 Oct 2026
· in 64 days
Next dividend
USD 1.25
ex-date 2026-09-10
prices 15-min delayed