The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) — Property & Casualty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 11:41 AM ETVol 792.5K · 3-mo avg 1.78M

The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)

TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 1/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$361.22
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$370–374
center $371.81 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$14.67
4.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.55×
52-week range$252.26 – $398.70
Below high since 2015-8.9% · $398.70 high
Risk / reward0.56 : 1
Plan stop$347.37
Max pain$340.00 options cluster
RSI 1443.8 fires under 35 · fires near $352.11
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple11.9× fwd · 9.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past5th pctile · 12.1× median
Price / book2.35×

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
43.8
fires under 35 · fires near $352.11
vs 50-day
✓
$371.66
below the line
Bollinger
●
$356.70
no lower pierce · fires near $354.73
VWAP 20
✓
$369.73
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$361.22
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$300.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-1.72
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.55×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.93
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-16
in 15 sessions
Next dividend
1.38% yld
no ex-date on file