The Allstate Corporation (ALL) — Property & Casualty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.70M · 3-mo avg 1.82M

The Allstate Corporation (ALL)

ALLThe Allstate Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 7 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~27% smaller swingsRiskFalling knife · 90/100 · was 18 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-250/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$226.46
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$253–256
center $254.89 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$9.92
4.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.01× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.83×
52-week range$188.08 – $277.22
Below high since 2015-17.9% · $277.22 high
Risk / reward2.02 : 1
Plan stop$214.09
Max pain$250.00 options cluster
RSI 1428.0 oversold
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple8.2× fwd · 4.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past0th pctile · 10.5× median
Price / book1.91×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
28.0
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$255.76
below the line
Bollinger
●
$225.91
no lower pierce · fires near $225.36
VWAP 20
✓
$246.20
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$226.46
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$250.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-3.50
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.83×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.19
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
1.90% yld
no ex-date on file