The Allstate Corporation (ALL) — $267.19 −0.92%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ALLpeers & supply-chain relationships

ALL fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 487.4K · Avg 1.49M
ALLThe Allstate Corporation$267.19-0.92%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.7× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$267.53
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$275–279
center $277.22 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$14.72
5.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.33× · 487.4K vs 1.49M avg
52-week range$188.08 – $267.19
Below high since 2015-2.7% · $277.22 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.7
Plan stop$253.09
Max pain$250.00 options cluster
RSI 1461.8 fires under 35 · fires near $221.95
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$267.19
$220.49 · -17.5%-17.5%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.5% · $281.91+5.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
61.8
fires under 35 · fires near $221.95
vs 50-day
$241.60
above the line · fires near $243.26
Bollinger
$239.82
no lower pierce · fires near $235.96
VWAP 20
$258.72
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $258.43
Entry level
$267.53
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$260.00
OI strike below · fires near $261.06
MACD
-1.50
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.33×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 84 days
Next dividend
USD 1.08
ex-date 2026-08-31
prices 15-min delayed