LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) — Airlines. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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LTMpeers & supply-chain relationships

LTM fair-value estimate

LTM earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.24M · 3-mo avg 862.6K

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM)

LTMLATAM Airlines Group S.A.loading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 6 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 9/100 · Nov 6
$47.43
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$48–49
near a resistance level, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $48.89 · Nov 6
±$4.40
±9.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume19% above normal1.19× its 20-day average
Past year's range$41.44 – $70.42lowest to highest price
From its peak32.3% belowpeak $70.42, highest since 2024
Gain vs. risk0.26 to 1$0.26 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$42.98the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$55.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)51.5fires under 35 · fires near $40.40
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit6.8× next year8.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 4%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 12.8×
Cash it generates13.7%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
51.5
fires under 35 · fires near $40.40
vs 50-day
✓
$49.20
below the line
Bollinger
●
$42.35
no lower pierce · fires near $41.54
VWAP 20
●
$45.77
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $45.74
Entry level
✓
$47.43
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$65.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.39
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.19×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-03
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
3.21% yld
no ex-date on file