Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — General Pharmaceutical. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:03 PM ETVol 1.92M · 3-mo avg 2.57M

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)

LLYEli Lilly and Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+7net
5 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~11% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$1,177.54
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$1,285–1,300
center $1,292.65 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$51.60
4.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.82×
52-week range$716.08 – $1,292.65
Below high since 2015-8.4% · $1,292.65 high
Risk / reward1.50 : 1
Plan stop$1,110.86
Max pain$1,160.00 options cluster
RSI 1455.8 fires under 35 · fires near $1,078.56
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple24.9× fwd · 39.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past8th pctile · 56.6× median
Free cash flow yield0.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 44% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
55.8
fires under 35 · fires near $1,078.56
vs 50-day
✓
$1,176.74
at the line
Bollinger
●
$1,112.23
no lower pierce · fires near $1,106.53
VWAP 20
●
$1,152.62
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $1,151.99
Entry level
✓
$1,177.54
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$1,140.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context✓
+5.78
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.82×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$29.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
0.58% yld
no ex-date on file