Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) — $261.81 +0.99%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

JNJpeers & supply-chain relationships

JNJ fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.98M · Avg 8.33M
JNJJohnson & Johnson$261.81+0.99%Pre-market$259.99-0.70%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.1× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$260.50
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$273–276
center $274.90 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$10.94
4.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.08× · 8.98M vs 8.33M avg
52-week range$171.81 – $274.90
Below high since 2015-4.8% · $274.90 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.2
Plan stop$248.42
Max pain
RSI 1458.3 fires under 35 · fires near $236.74
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$261.81
$235.59 · -10.0%-10.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.2% · $272.75+4.2%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
58.3
fires under 35 · fires near $236.74
vs 50-day
$248.35
above the line · fires near $250.50
Bollinger
$245.72
no lower pierce · fires near $243.62
VWAP 20
$256.65
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $256.57
Entry level
$260.50
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$250.00
OI strike below · fires near $251.16
MACD
-0.58
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.08×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.04
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
13 Oct 2026
· in 63 days
Next dividend
USD 1.34
ex-date 2026-08-25
prices 15-min delayed