CarMax, Inc. (KMX) — Auto & Truck Dealerships. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.96M · 3-mo avg 2.61M

CarMax, Inc. (KMX)

KMXCarMax, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 8 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$51.22
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$55–57
near a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $56.08 · Nov 6
±$3.75
±7.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume28% below normal0.72× its 20-day average
Past year's range$31.81 – $65.28lowest to highest price
From its peak66.8% belowpeak $155.12, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.87 to 1$0.87 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$46.18the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$55.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)42.9fires under 35 · fires near $46.93
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit14.3× next year24.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 64%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 22.1×
Cash it generates17.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 43% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
42.9
fires under 35 · fires near $46.93
vs 50-day
✓
$56.15
below the line
Bollinger
●
$49.40
no lower pierce · fires near $48.89
VWAP 20
✓
$52.99
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$51.22
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.11
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.52
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-17
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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