Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) — Auto & Truck Dealerships. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 184.9K · 3-mo avg 304.2K

Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD)

LADLithia Motors, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
1 bull / 4 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$307.23
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$314–322
near the top of its usual range, a heavy call-option level, a resistance level and the 50-day average · midpoint $317.58 · Nov 6
±$23.62
±7.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume54% below normal0.46× its 20-day average
Past year's range$239.78 – $439.49lowest to highest price
From its peak29.7% belowpeak $439.49, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.23 to 1$0.23 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$271.01the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$290.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)53.2fires under 35 · fires near $252.22
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit7.7× next year8.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 60%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 8.3×
Cash it generates0.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
53.2
fires under 35 · fires near $252.22
vs 50-day
✓
$315.60
below the line
Bollinger
●
$272.29
no lower pierce · fires near $268.17
VWAP 20
●
$292.58
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $292.46
Entry level
✓
$307.23
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$350.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+4.38
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.46×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
8.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$16.25
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-10
in 64 sessions
Next dividend
0.97% yld
no ex-date on file