Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 89/100 · was 1 on Sep 12 · as of 2026-09-170/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$194.39
basis · pivot low · as of 2026-09-16
Target exit zone
$204–207
center $205.59 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-16
Implied move · 1 wk
±$9.37
5.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 15% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
0.97× the norm · 77% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 15% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.41×
52-week range$174.88 – $235.81
Below high since 2015-17.1% · $235.81 high
Risk / reward—
Plan stop$182.16
Max pain$210.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.3 fires under 35 · fires near $165.70
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple7.2× fwd · 8.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past77th pctile · 7.2× median
Free cash flow yield-3.4% · burning cash
Trading in line with its own normal, price down 10.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.
Entry strategy · 10 triggers
4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
Momentum gauge, 0–100. A low reading describes losses dominating recent gains; it does not predict a reversal. Recomputed at the what-if price from the served daily tape.
RSI 14
●
38.3
fires under 35 · fires near $165.70
vs 50-day
The average close across 50 sessions. Trading at or below it describes price location versus the recent trend; it is not evidence that buyers will defend the line.
vs 50-day
✓
$205.06
below the line
Bollinger
A 20-session volatility envelope. A lower-band pierce describes an unusually low price relative to that recent distribution; it does not guarantee mean reversion. The band re-forms around the what-if price.
Bollinger
✓
$192.90
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
A 20-session rolling VWAP approximated from daily typical price and volume, not an intraday session anchor. Being below it is a price-location descriptor, not a forecast.
VWAP 20
✓
$203.46
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
The entry reference published by the audited level composer from the stock's support zone. It is a model level, not an instruction or guaranteed floor.
Entry level
✓
$194.39
below the model level
Put wall
The strike with the largest put open interest in the stored chain snapshot. It is an options-positioning reference, not verified price support.
Put wall
●
$140.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Momentum-shift gauge shown as context, not part of the alignment rule. Recomputed at the what-if price when the served daily tape is usable.
MACD
Context●
-2.02
below zero · still falling
RVol
Volume so far today, projected to a full session, against this name's own average over the last 20 sessions. Above about 1.5x is unusually active for this name and below about 0.7x unusually quiet; heavy volume says a lot of shares changed hands, never which way the next move goes. A hypothetical price cannot create volume, so this tile holds steady as the slider moves.
RVolStatic
1.41×
in line with its own normal
Short int.
Shares sold short as a percentage of float. The 20% threshold is a crowding descriptor, not a forecast of a squeeze. This value updates on the reporting cadence.
Short int.Static
6.8%
short interest below 20%
ATR
Average true range describes the stock's recent daily price range. It is informational and does not enter the alignment count.
ATRStatic
$6.12
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.