AutoNation, Inc. (AN) — Auto & Truck Dealerships. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AN fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 511.4K · 3-mo avg 548.9K

AutoNation, Inc. (AN)

ANAutoNation, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$183.08
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$234–238
near the 52-week high · midpoint $235.81 · Nov 6
±$13.51
±7.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume17% below normal0.83× its 20-day average
Past year's range$151.82 – $235.81lowest to highest price
From its peak22.0% belowpeak $235.81, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.86 to 1$2.86 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$165.88the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$175.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.8fires under 35 · fires near $139.83
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit7.9× next year8.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 61%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 7.3×
Cash it generates-3.4%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 41% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.8
fires under 35 · fires near $139.83
vs 50-day
●
$175.53
above the line · fires near $177.10
Bollinger
●
$144.34
no lower pierce · fires near $140.66
VWAP 20
●
$169.24
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $169.09
Entry level
✓
$183.08
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$230.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+3.59
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.83×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
9.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-12
in 66 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file