Carvana Co. (CVNA) — Auto & Truck Dealerships. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:02 PM ETVol 7.64M · 3-mo avg 9.00M

Carvana Co. (CVNA)

CVNACarvana Co.loading…
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QTick signal
-4net
1 bull / 4 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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$73.20
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$96–98
near the 52-week high · midpoint $97.38 · Nov 6
±$6.26
±8.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume34% below normal0.66× its 20-day average
Past year's range$54.46 – $97.38lowest to highest price
From its peak24.4% belowpeak $97.38, highest since 2017
Gain vs. risk2.82 to 1$2.82 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$65.14the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$68.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)62.8fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit34.6× next year35.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 15%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 58.2×
Cash it generates1.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 2.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 54% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
62.8
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$65.80
above the line · fires near $66.30
Bollinger
●
$50.61
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$65.08
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $65.02
Entry level
✓
$73.20
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$67.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context✓
+1.84
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.66×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
9.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.03
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-17
in 68 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file