Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) — $4.39 −2.01%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 794.9K · Avg 1.14M
KDKKodiak AI, Inc.$4.39-2.01%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -8 — more evidence points down than up — and the 50-day average sits below the 200-day, the balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band, 1 accounting red flag is raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-8net
0 bull / 4 bear factors · moderate
Bull 0 pts·Bear 8 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$4.37
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$5.28
center $5.28 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.34
7.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.70× · 794.9K vs 1.14M avg
52-week range$3.97 – $11.35
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward1 : 1.5
Plan stop$3.76
Max pain$11.00 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1443.6 fires under 35 · fires near $3.88
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$4.39
$3.77 · -14.1%-14.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+7.7% · $4.73+7.7%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
43.6
fires under 35 · fires near $3.88
vs 50-day
$5.22
below the line
Bollinger
$4.05
no lower pierce · fires near $4.00
VWAP 20
$4.34
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $4.34
Entry level
$4.37
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$7.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
+0.10
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.70×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
6.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.28
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026
· in 85 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed