KB Home (KBH) — Residential Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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KBH fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.52M · 3-mo avg 1.23M

KB Home (KBH)

KBHKB Homeloading…
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QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 25/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$47.77
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$52–53
center $52.35 · basis · round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.67
5.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.89×
52-week range$44.03 – $67.57
Below high since 2015-46.5% · $89.70 high
Risk / reward1.17 : 1
Plan stop$44.31
Max pain$50.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.4 fires under 35 · fires near $47.09
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple12.6× fwd · 13.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past94th pctile · 7.2× median
Free cash flow yield9.6% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
38.4
fires under 35 · fires near $47.09
vs 50-day
✓
$53.65
below the line
Bollinger
●
$45.44
no lower pierce · fires near $44.81
VWAP 20
✓
$49.00
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$47.77
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$45.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.09
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.89×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
14.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-09-24
reported today · reaction session open
Next dividend
2.08% yld
no ex-date on file