JD.com, Inc. (JD) — $33.47 +1.52%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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JD fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.65M · Avg 9.06M
JDJD.com, Inc.$33.47+1.52%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.8× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$33.30
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$35–36
center $35.59 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~46% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.85× · 7.65M vs 9.06M avg
52-week range$24.51 – $36.86
Below high since 2015-70.8% · $114.70 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.4
Plan stop$31.70
Max pain
RSI 1476.8 overbought
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$33.47
$27.82 · -16.9%-16.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+3.6% · $34.67+3.6%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
76.8
overbought
vs 50-day
$29.12
above the line · fires near $29.30
Bollinger
$28.41
no lower pierce · fires near $27.96
VWAP 20
$31.36
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $31.35
Entry level
$33.30
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.14
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.85×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
11 Aug 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 0 days
Next dividend
2.99% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed